Putin's speculation
I don't think war can be an economic policy
There are various speculations about the
purpose of Russia's invasion of Ukraine.
However, as a general rule, other than the direct purpose of incorporating Ukraine into Russia, it is possible to overcome economic problems.
What will Russia gain from the invasion of Ukraine the other day with an article that predicts that Russia's purpose is to purge anti-Russian forces staying in Ukraine, so-called traitors and spies?
I wrote in What will Russia gain from the invasion of Ukraine?
However, with regard to this invasion of Ukraine, the situation is flooded with fake news, and if you make a prediction, it is nothing more than gossip.
The expectation of war as a breakthrough in this economic crisis is based on an article written in 2020.
Russia will not collapse for at least twomore years: Asahi Shimbun GLOBE + (asahi.com)
In 2020, Russia was expected not to collapse for another two years.
It's been the second year since then.
According to the article, Russia's economy will decline due to the Corona disaster, but it can withstand two years because of its sound policy.
Corona isn't much better than it was two years ago.
Then, Russia still needs a new move.
Russia, whose munitions industry supports the nation, may have the intention of making it easier to sell its weapons by showing each country that war is one of the diplomatic means.
Create an atmosphere where war is easy to do.
Even if you don't actually go to war, if you can show that it is valid as a diplomatic card, it will be easier to do business.
Also, showing off a strong army is the best selling point to a business partner.
It's more convincing than showing a papier mache in a military parade.
Russia is subject to economic sanctions from each country, but it seems that it is also looking at the exit.
Very bullish.
However, the fact that there were casualties cannot be justified.
Is it okay if the economy is threatened by the corona and fewer people die in war than in the recession?
Even in Japan, there is a comment that weighs suicides due to the recession and deaths due to corona, but as I said in "Why cannot we prevent suicide by the economic priority in corona?", I think that is not correct.
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