Will isolated Russia establish a new economic zone?

2022年3月5日土曜日

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The speculation of isolated Russia

Was the intention of excluding excluded?

What exactly is Putin thinking?

I consider it as "Russia's invasion of Ukraine | Forecast based on economic reasons" from the viewpoint that he is advancing the invasion of Ukraine for the national interest of Russia as a leader of a country, regardless of whether it is morally good or bad.

I am considering it.

Therefore, I think that the economic sanctions that Russia is currently receiving have already been factored in as a compensation for this invasion.

So, what did President Putin intend to do with Russia's economic policy?

First of all, I think it is natural to think that China, which is the world's second largest economy with nominal GDP, was in mind as a stable business partner.

China's nominal GDP will be $ 1486.6 billion in 2020.

After the 3rd place, the number of digits has decreased by one and it is less than 500 billion dollars, so there is a presence in China that can not be won even if it is bundled.

Even if China keeps pace with the economic sanctions of the nations, it could be a pose of some sort, and China can afford it.

It is assumed that this GDP information is accurate.

And if the countries that do not like the invasion of Ukraine move away and Russia becomes isolated, there will be countries that approach the opposite.

In a sense, it means that you will have a stronger relationship of trust than before.

Because we know each other that we can't rely on others.

And the products will be exclusively oil, natural gas, and munitions industries.

There may be IT and tourism, but it has to resemble the limited ones that Russia envisions as a new economic zone.

Russia will sacrifice other diverse industries and growth.

It may be that Russia is being cornered by overcoming the current plight rather than the possibility.

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